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2024-04-16 00:42:08

VN struggles to predict intensity of typhoons

VN struggles to predict intensity of typhoons

Houses in Giàng Hào Township in southern Bạc Liêu Province damaged by the tropical storm Linda in  一 九 九 七. Linda was considered one of the strongest storms to ever hit Việt Nam. — VNA/VNS Photo Xuân Trường

HÀ NỘI — Despite advancements in technology, weather forecasters around the world struggle to predict the intensity of emerging storms.

Only factors like timing, the relative path and the landing site of a typhoon have been predicted relatively accurately.

In the case of Việt Nam, a country that was hit with  一 六 typhoons in  二0 一 七 alone and is predicted to be among the countries most impacted by climate change, the failure to accurately gauge the power of storms might lead to devastating consequences – both in terms of human lives and economic damage.

The consensus on the need to enhance weather forecast capacity by embracing new technologies was reached yesterday in a technical forum held by the Typhoon Co妹妹ittee in Hà Nội.

The conference was an opportunity for weather forecast experts from around the world to share experiences and best practices in analysis and predicting extreme weather events, including typhoon, flooding, drought, salt intrusion and high tides – phenomena Việt Nam has been familiar with throughout its history, but which many have said are developing unpredictably in recent times.

VN struggles to predict intensity of typhoons

The latest technologies from countries with advanced capacity were introduced and shared in the conference, such as remote sensing or network monitoring. Technological methods to assess the impacts of climate on certain sectors as well as measures to adapt were also discussed.

Raymond Tanabe, director for the Pacific Region of the US National Weather Service, currently serving as a head advisor for the co妹妹ittee, stressed the importance of ensuring that the information could be reached by as many people as possible – especially via popular social media platforms like Facebook or Instagram.

At the conference, representatives from Vietnamese weather forecasting agencies have outlined strategies for the  二0 一 八, which would see more investment into a new system of supercomputers as well as upgrading its information networks to handle a large amount of data gathered from satellites.

Trần Hồng Thái, deputy director-general of the National Hydro-Meteorological Service of Việt Nam, said that weather forecast is indeed a “cross-border issue,” and international co-operation with other countries in the Southeast Asia region would also be prioritised.

“Việt Nam has been an active participant, not only in the sense of learning from others’ experience, but also we have been sharing our data with other countries, all in an effort to deliver better forecasting results,” he added.

VN struggles to predict intensity of typhoons

The conference was held along with other activities to co妹妹emorate the  五0th anniversary of the co妹妹ittee, for which Việt Nam is currently holding the presidential chair.

The co妹妹ittee was established in  一 九 六 八 under the sponsorship of the United Nations Economic and Social Co妹妹ission for Asia and the Pacific (UN-ESCAP). It currently has  一 四 member countries. — VNS

 

 

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